Assessment of the situation in the country, trust in social institutions, politicians, officials and public figures, attitude to elections during the war, belief in victory (February–March 2025)

March 26, 2025

Results of a public opinion poll conducted by the Razumkov Centre Sociological Service on February 28 — March 6, 2025.

Face-to-face interviews were taken in Vinnytsia, Volyn, Dnipropetrovsk, Zhytomyr, Transcarpathian, Zaporizhia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Kyiv, Kirovohrad, Lviv, Mykolayiv, Odesa, Poltava, Rivne, Sumy, Ternopil, Kharkiv, Kherson, Khmelnytsky, Cherkasy, Chernihiv, Chernivtsi regions and the city of Kyiv (in Zaporizhia, Mykolayiv, Kharkiv, Kherson regions — only in the territories controlled by the government of Ukraine, free of hostilities).

The poll was held by stratified multistage sampling with random selection at the first stages of sampling and random selection of respondents at the final stage (when respondents were selected on the basis of sex and age quotas). The sample structure reproduces the demographic structure of the adult population of the territories where the poll was conducted as of the beginning of 2022 (by age, sex, settlement type).

2,018 respondents aged 18 and more were polled. The sample theoretical error does not exceed 2.3%. However, additional systemic deviations in the sample may be caused by the consequences of Russian aggression, including forced evacuation of millions of citizens.


After the start of Russia's full-scale aggression against Ukraine, the share of citizens who believed that events in Ukraine were developing in the right direction increased significantly (from 20% in December 2021 to 51% in September–October 2022, being record high in February–March 2023 — 61%). After that, the trend went down. In September 2024, the share of those who believed that events in Ukraine were developing in the right direction made 33%, and of those who believe that they were developing in a wrong direction — 48%. In February–March 2025, compared to September 2024, these indicators did not statistically change (32% and 46%, respectively). At the same time, their ratio remains better than before the start of the full-scale war (in December 2021 — respectively, 20% and 65.5%).

28% of Ukrainians believe that Ukraine can overcome the existing problems and difficulties within the next few years, 47% believe that Ukraine can overcome problems in a longer term, and 10% do not believe that Ukraine can overcome the existing problems (the rest is undecided). Ukrainians were the most optimistic about their problems and difficulties in late 2022 — early 2023 (for example, in February–March 2023 — 49%, 36% and 3%, respectively), while the assessments before the start of the full-scale war were much more pessimistic (in December 2021 — 18%, 54% and 18%, respectively).


Trust in the institutes of society

The most trusted state and public institutes are the Armed Forces of Ukraine (93.5% of respondents trust them), the State Emergency Service (85.5%), volunteer units (85.5%), volunteer organizations (80%), the National Guard of Ukraine (79%), the State Border Service (74%), the Church (65%), the Security Service of Ukraine (64%), the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine (63%), public organizations (60.5%), the President of Ukraine (57.5%), the mayor of the city (village, village) in which the respondent lives (51%), and the National Bank of Ukraine (51%).

Also, trust is expressed more often than distrust in the Verkhovna Rada Human Rights Commissioner (Ombudsman) (40% and 34%, respectively) and in the city (settlement, village) council in which the respondent lives (48% and 43.5%, respectively).

The National Police is almost equally trusted and distrusted (47% and 46%, respectively).

Most respondents reported distrust in the state machinery (officials) (79% do not trust them), political parties (77%), the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine (77%), courts (the judicial system in general) (73%), the Ukrainian Government (71%), the Public Prosecutor's Office (63.5%), the National Anti-Corruption Bureau of Ukraine (62%), the National Agency for Corruption Prevention (62%), the Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor's Office (62%), and commercial banks (54%).

Also, distrust is reported more often than trust in the Ukrainian media (50% of respondents do not trust, and 41% trust them) and trade unions (46% and 22.5%, respectively).


Trust in politicians, officials and public figures

Among politicians, officials, public figures whose popularity was assessed during this survey, respondents most often reported trust in V. Zelenskyy (60% trust him).

Trust was reported more often than distrust in V. Malyuk (41% and 25%, respectively).

V. Kim is equally trusted and distrusted (37.5% and 37%, respectively).

The majority of respondents do not trust O. Arestovych (88%), Yu. Boyko (83%), Yu. Tymoshenko (83%), P. Poroshenko (75%), A. Yermak (67%), D. Arakhamia (67%), R. Stefanchuk (65%), D. Shmyhal (56.5%), %), S. Prytula (52%), V. Klitschko (52%).

Distrust was reported more often than trust in D. Hetmantsev (46% do not trust, 16.5% trust him), R. Umerov (46% and 23%, respectively), I. Klymenko (33% and 18%, respectively).


Attitude to national elections to be held in Ukraine before the end of the war

Only 22% of respondents welcomed the idea of ​​holding national elections in Ukraine (presidential or parliamentary) before the end of the war, the majority of respondents (66%) oppose them.

Support for the idea of ​​holding elections before the end of the war depends on the level of trust in the current authorities, primarily — the President of Ukraine. Among those who trust the Ukraine's President, only 11% would support such elections (79% would not). Among those who do not trust the President, support for ​​such elections is higher (40.5%), but a relative majority (47%) is also against national elections in Ukraine during the war.

Support for the idea of ​​holding presidential and parliamentary elections before the end of the war to a lesser extent depends on the trust in the Verkhovna Rada: among those who trust it, 11% would support such elections (76% would not), and among those who do not trust it — 25% and 64%, respectively.

Citizens also strongly rejected the idea of ​​holding regular local elections before the end of the war in those territories where the security situation allows it — only 25% of respondents expressed a positive attitude to them, 63% — a negative one.

The negative attitude to elections during the war is caused by the fact that a relative majority (47%) of citizens believes that such elections will divide Ukrainian society (only 11% believe that they will unite it, 28% — that they will have no effect).

A relative majority of citizens (49%) believes that a change of government during the war will obstruct the victory in the war with Russia. Only 13% suggested that a change of government would contribute to victory, and 20% — that it would have no effect.

Answering the question "How soon after the end of the war and martial law it will be possible to hold elections?", 36% of respondents said that the President of Ukraine should be elected immediately after the end of the war and abolition of martial law, 35% — in 6 months, 16% — in 1 year, 2% — in 2 years, 4% — later.

Regarding the elections of people's deputies of Ukraine, 40% of those polled believe that such elections should be held immediately after the end of the war and martial law, 35% — in 6 months, 14% — in 1 year, 1% — in 2 years, 2% — later; elections of city/village mayors — 37%, 34%, 16%, 2% and 3%, respectively, elections of city/village council members — 38%, 34%, 15%, 2% and 3%, respectively.


Belief in victory and the idea of the victory

74% of respondents believe in Ukraine's victory in the war (56% of residents of the country’s South, 67% of residents in the East, 79% of residents in the Centre and 81.5% — in the Wes), 16% do not believe in it (11% in the West, 14% in the Centre, 23% in the East and 24% in the South of the country).

Regarding what can be considered a victory, those who believe in victory most often (30%) say that victory means the expulsion of Russian troops from the entire territory of Ukraine and restoration of the borders as of January 2014. Another 17% see the victory as the defeat of the Russian army and an uprising/collapse in Russia. 22% opted for the status quo as of February 23, 2022, 11% — expulsion of Russian troops from the entire territory of Ukraine, except for occupied Crimea, and 10% — cessation of the war, even if the Russian army remains in the territories it captured during the full-scale invasion (after February 24, 2022).



POLL RESULTS IN TABLES

(data in the tables are percentages)


Do you think that the events in Ukraine are generally moving in the right or wrong direction?

In the right direction 31.7
In a wrong direction 46.0
Hard to say 22.4


Do you believe that Ukraine can overcome the existing problems and difficulties?

It can overcome in the next few years 28.3
It can overcome in a more remote future 46.9
It cannot 10.3
Hard to say 14.5


To what extent do you trust the following institutes of society?

totally distrust rather, distrust rather, trust fully trust hard to say balance of trust/distrust*
President of Ukraine 13.8 21.3 40.2 17.3 7.5 22.4
Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 37.0 39.7 15.9 1.9 5.4 -58.9
Government of Ukraine 32.1 38.6 20.2 2.3 6.8 -48.2
State machinery (officials) 35.2 44.0 12.1 1.2 7.6 -65.9
Your city (town, village) mayor 16.5 25.5 42.8 8.0 7.3 8.8
Local council of your city (town, village) 14.7 28.8 40.8 6.8 8.9 4.1
Armed Forces of Ukraine 1.7 3.0 25.5 68.0 1.7 88.8
Ministry of Defence of Ukraine 6.0 23.0 38.8 24.3 7.9 34.1
State Border Service 5.4 15.0 40.2 33.5 5.8 53.3
National Guard of Ukraine 4.1 10.7 41.8 37.4 6.0 64.4
National Police 14.4 31.9 35.5 11.2 6.9 0.4
Security Service of Ukraine 8.0 20.1 44.5 19.3 8.1 35.7
State Emergency Service 3.7 6.7 37.4 48.1 4.1 75.1
Prosecutor’s Office 27.5 36.0 19.5 3.0 14.0 -41.0
Courts (judicial system as a whole) 34.2 38.7 11.7 2.7 12.8 -58.5
National Anticorruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) 24.6 37.7 18.1 3.2 16.5 -41.0
Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office 25.9 35.7 17.4 3.0 18.0 -41.2
National Agency on Corruption Prevention (NACP) 26.3 35.8 16.4 2.6 18.8 -43.1
Verkhovna Rada Human Rights Commissioner (Ombudsman) 12.5 21.5 34.0 6.1 26.0 6.1
Ukrainian mass media 17.4 33.0 36.5 4.7 8.4 -9.2
National Bank of Ukraine 12.1 25.3 45.0 5.6 12.1 13.2
Commercial banks 21.3 32.5 28.0 3.3 15.0 -22.5
Trade unions 18.1 27.8 19.9 2.6 31.6 -23.4
Political parties 33.4 44.0 8.8 1.4 12.5 -67.2
Public organizations 7.3 19.6 52.1 8.4 12.7 33.6
Church 8.4 13.8 40.0 24.7 13.1 42.5
Volunteer detachments 2.4 6.1 43.8 41.7 5.9 77.0
Volunteer organizations 3.8 10.4 49.6 30.4 5.8 65.8

* Difference between trust and distrust


To what extent do you trust the following politicians, officials and public figures?

totally distrust rather, distrust rather, trust fully trust not aware hard to say balance of trust/distrust*
Davyd Arakhamia 42.3 24.3 8.3 0.4 15.3 9.4 -57.9
Oleksiy Arestovych 70.2 17.6 4.4 1.2 2.5 4.1 -82.2
Yuriy Boyko 70.2 12.6 5.3 0.9 6.7 4.2 -76.6
Danylo Hetmantsev 22.2 23.5 14.3 2.2 26.5 11.3 -29.2
Andriy Yermak 40.5 26.7 15.0 2.5 5.5 9.8 -49.7
Volodymyr Zelenskyy 15.1 18.2 33.4 26.2 0.0 7.1 26.3
Vitaliy Kim 15.6 21.2 29.1 8.4 12.2 13.5 0.7
Ihor Klymenko 15.1 18.3 15.8 2.3 36.3 12.1 -15.3
Vitali Klitschko 23.2 28.6 32.3 4.0 1.0 10.8 -15.5
Vasyl Maliuk 9.9 15.1 29.8 11.0 23.4 10.9 15.8
Petro Poroshenko 45.6 29.3 11.7 5.3 0.2 8.0 -57.9
Serhiy Prytula 26.4 25.5 31.2 5.9 1.9 9.1 -14.8
Ruslan Stefanchuk 33.2 32.1 12.5 1.1 11.0 10.2 -51.7
Yuliya Tymoshenko 52.7 29.9 8.8 1.8 0.2 6.5 -72.0
Rustem Umerov 23.1 23.3 19.7 3.0 18.2 12.7 -23.7
Denys Shmyhal 24.5 32.0 22.1 2.9 5.8 12.7 -31.5

* Difference between trust and distrust


What is your attitude to the idea of holding national (presidential or parliamentary) elections before the end of the war?

Positive 21.6
Negative 66.4
Hard to say 12.1


What is your attitude to the idea of holding local elections before the end of the war in the territories where the security situation allows?

Positive 25.0
Negative 62.9
Hard to say 12.1


Do you think that elections during the war will divide or unite Ukrainian society?

Unite 10.7
Divide 46.6
No influence 28.2
Hard to say 14.5


Do you think that the change of government during the war will contribute to or obstruct victory in the war with Russia?

Contribute 12.9
Obstruct 49.3
No influence 20.3
Hard to say 17.5


How soon after the end of the war and martial law do you think it will be possible to hold elections?

Right after the end of martial law In 6 months after the end of martial law In 1 year after the end of martial law In 2 years after the end of martial law Later Hard to say
of people’s deputies (members of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine) 39.6 35.2 13.9 1.4 2.4 7.6
of the President of Ukraine 36.0 35.4 15.9 2.0 3.9 6.7
of city/village mayors 37.3 34.3 16.0 2.0 2.8 7.7
of city/village council members 37.9 33.9 15.3 2.1 3.1 7.7


Do you believe in Ukraine’s victory in the war with Russia?

Yes 42.7
Rather, yes 31.5
Rather, no 11.1
No 5.1
Hard to say 9.5


What is your personal idea of the victory in the war?
% among those who believe in Ukraine’s victory

End of the war, even if the Russian army remains in the territories seized after February 24, 2022 (parts of Kherson, Zaporizhia regions, Donbas) 10.2
Expulsion of Russian troops behind the line as of February 23, 2022 (separate districts of Donetsk, Luhansk regions and Crimea remain occupied) 22.4
Expulsion of Russian troops from the entire territory of Ukraine except Crimea 11.2
Expulsion of Russian troops from the entire territory of Ukraine and restoration of borders as of January 2014 29.7
Defeat of the Russian army and an uprising in /collapse of Russia 17.0
Other 1.3
Hard to say 8.2



DYNAMICS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS POLLS


Do you think that the events in Ukraine are generally moving in the right or wrong direction?

Dec 2021 Sep–Oct 2022 Feb–Mar 2023 July 2023 Sep 2023 Dec 2023 Jan 2024 Mar 2024 June 2024 Aug 2024 Sep 2024 Feb–Mar 2025
In the right direction 20.3 51.0 60.6 52.1 48.7 45.3 40.6 37.7 32.9 39.8 33.4 31.7
In a wrong direction 65.5 27.8 21.0 26.8 30.5 33.2 38.0 38.7 47.4 37.1 48.0 46.0
Hard to say 14.2 21.3 18.5 21.1 20.8 21.5 21.4 23.5 19.6 23.1 18.6 22.4


Do you believe that Ukraine can overcome the existing problems and difficulties?

Dec 2021 Sep–Oct 2022 Feb–Mar 2023 July 2023 Sep 2023 Dec 2023 Jan 2024 Mar 2024 June 2024 Sep 2024 Feb–Mar 2025
It can overcome in the next few years 17.7 40.6 49.4 42.7 38.0 32.2 32.8 30.5 29.0 30.3 28.3
It can overcome in a more remote future 54.4 42.6 35.9 41.7 43.4 45.3 42.2 45.9 45.9 46.3 46.9
It cannot 17.6 5.2 3.4 6.4 8.6 7.2 9.0 10.5 11.3 10.9 10.3
Hard to say 10.3 11.6 11.3 9.2 10.0 15.3 16.1 13.2 13.8 12.5 14.5


To what extent do you trust the following institutes of society?

July–August 2021 September 2024 Feb–Mar 2025
distrust* trust** hard to say balance of trust/distrust*** distrust* trust** hard to say balance of trust/distrust*** distrust* trust** hard to say balance of trust/distrust***
Armed Forces of Ukraine 24.8 68.3 6.7 43.5 5.9 91.5 2.6 85.6 4.7 93.5 1.7 88.8
State Emergency Service 28.7 61.4 9.9 32.7 12.4 83.1 4.4 70.7 10.4 85.5 4.1 75.1
Volunteer detachments 33.4 53.5 13.1 20.1 12.3 79.5 8.2 67.2 8.5 85.5 5.9 77.0
Volunteer organizations 25.1 63.6 11.3 38.5 13.7 80.3 5.9 66.6 14.2 80.0 5.8 65.8
National Guard of Ukraine 36.0 53.6 10.4 17.6 18.5 74.4 7.1 55.9 14.8 79.2 6.0 64.4
State Border Service 34.3 55 10.7 20.7 23.4 69.8 6.9 46.4 20.4 73.7 5.8 53.3
Church 26.3 63.5 10.3 37.2 26.8 62.5 10.6 35.7 22.2 64.7 13.1 42.5
Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) 49.7 37.5 12.7 -12.2 26.1 63.6 10.3 37.5 28.1 63.8 8.1 35.7
Ministry of Defence of Ukraine ˗ ˗ ˗ ˗ 29.1 62.8 8.1 33.7 29.0 63.1 7.9 34.1
Public organizations 37.4 47 15.5 9.6 29.3 58.8 11.8 29.5 26.9 60.5 12.7 33.6
President of Ukraine 57.6 36.2 6.2 -21.4 44.5 48.5 7.1 4.0 35.1 57.5 7.5 22.4
Your city (town, village) mayor 33.6 57.1 9.3 23.5 44.7 47.4 7.9 2.7 42.0 50.8 7.3 8.8
National Bank of Ukraine 60.1 29.1 10.9 -31.0 39.4 50.2 10.4 10.8 37.4 50.6 12.1 13.2
Local council of your city (town, village) 37.8 51.4 10.7 13.6 45.9 44.6 9.4 -1.3 43.5 47.6 8.9 4.1
National Police of Ukraine 52.9 38.5 8.5 -14.4 41.4 49.8 8.8 8.4 46.3 46.7 6.9 0.4
Ukrainian mass media 45.8 45.4 8.9 -0.4 48.1 44.6 7.3 -3.5 50.4 41.2 8.4 -9.2
Verkhovna Rada Human Rights Commissioner (Ombudsman) 40.1 31.7 28.1 -8.4 34.4 42.4 23.2 8.0 34.0 40.1 26.0 6.1
Commercial banks 70.7 18.2 11.1 -52.5 54.9 29.3 15.8 -25.6 53.8 31.3 15.0 -22.5
Trade unions 54.8 21.2 24.0 -33.6 46.1 25.9 28.0 -20.2 45.9 22.5 31.6 -23.4
Public Prosecutor’s Office 71.1 17.8 11.1 -53.3 62.6 23.2 14.1 -39.4 63.5 22.5 14.0 -41.0
Government of Ukraine 72 21.5 6.6 -50.5 72.5 20.5 7.1 -52.0 70.7 22.5 6.8 -48.2
National Anticorruption Bureau of Ukraine (NABU) 69.6 15.2 15.3 -54.4 58.0 22.1 19.9 -35.9 62.3 21.3 16.5 -41.0
Specialized Anti-Corruption Prosecutor’s Office 69.3 13.6 17.2 -55.7 58.0 19.4 22.7 -38.6 61.6 20.4 18.0 -41.2
National Agency on Corruption Prevention 69.6 13.2 17.2 -56.4 57.4 19.2 23.4 -38.2 62.1 19.0 18.8 -43.1
Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine 75.1 18.7 6.1 -56.4 78.5 16.0 5.6 -62.5 76.7 17.8 5.4 -58.9
Courts (judicial system as a whole) 74.2 15.5 10.4 -58.7 70.2 16.4 13.5 -53.8 72.9 14.4 12.8 -58.5
State machinery (officials) 75.7 14.9 9.4 -60.8 77.4 14.2 8.3 -63.2 79.2 13.3 7.6 -65.9
Political parties 71.7 16.1 12.2 -55.6 73.5 14.7 11.9 -58.8 77.4 10.2 12.5 -67.2

* Aggregate of answers "don't trust at all" and "rather, don't trust"

** Aggregate of answers "fully trust" and "rather, trust"

*** Difference between trust and distrust


To what extent do you trust the following politicians, officials and public figures?

Distrust* Trust** Not aware Hard to say Balance of trust/distrust*
Davyd Arakhamia
Feb–Mar 2023 38.8 26.7 18.6 15.9 -12.1
May 2023 45.7 18.1 19.3 16.8 -27.6
July 2023 49.0 21.5 15.9 13.6 -27.5
Sep 2023 54.2 19.2 15.5 11.2 -35.0
Dec 2023 57.3 18.4 12.0 12.2 -38.9
Jan 2024 58.1 14.0 14.6 13.2 -44.1
June 2024 61.9 14.6 14.0 9.6 -47.3
Sep 2024 60.3 13.7 14.9 11.1 -46.6
Feb–Mar 2025 66.6 8.7 15.3 9.4 -57.9
Yuriy Boyko
July–Aug 2021 73.0 17.8 3.0 6.3 -55.2
Feb–Mar 2023 81.6 6.0 6.5 5.9 -75.6
May 2023 77.0 6.1 8.6 8.4 -70.9
July 2023 76.0 9.8 6.6 7.6 -66.2
Sep 2023 82.2 6.8 6.5 4.6 -75.4
Dec 2023 81.3 6.1 6.8 5.9 -75.2
Jan 2024 78.2 5.5 8.6 7.6 -72.7
June 2024 76.9 9.1 8.1 5.9 -67.8
Sep 2024 79.3 4.5 9.8 6.3 -74.8
Feb–Mar 2025 82.8 6.2 6.7 4.2 -76.6
Danylo Hetmantsev
Dec 2023 33.4 20.4 35.6 10.6 -13.0
Jan 2024 32.6 20.2 34.3 12.9 -12.4
June 2024 40.0 19.8 30.1 10.1 -20.2
Sep 2024 38.8 16.1 34.1 11.0 -22.7
Feb–Mar 2025 45.7 16.5 26.5 11.3 -29.2
Andriy Yermak
July–Aug 2021 58.5 10.3 22.6 8.6 -48.2
Feb–Mar 2023 36.0 40.6 8.1 15.3 4.6
May 2023 40.0 37.5 7.6 15 -2.5
July 2023 41.8 37.8 7.8 12.6 -4.0
Sep 2023 52.8 29.1 7.4 10.8 -23.7
Dec 2023 54.3 29.7 5.9 10.1 -24.6
Jan 2024 55.5 25.2 5.7 13.6 -30.3
June 2024 63.9 19.5 5.7 11.0 -44.4
Sep 2024 61.9 21.3 5.2 11.6 -40.6
Feb–Mar 2025 67.2 17.5 5.5 9.8 -49.7
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
July–Aug 2021 61.0 32.6 0.4 6.1 -28.4
Feb–Mar 2023 9.9 84.9 0.5 4.7 75.0
May 2023 11.0 83.5 0.3 5.1 72.5
July 2023 13.6 80.8 0.6 4.9 67.2
Sep 2023 18.6 74.8 0.1 6.5 56.2
Dec 2023 23.4 70.7 0.3 5.6 47.3
Jan 2024 24.5 69.0 0.1 6.5 44.5
June 2024 37.8 53.8 0.2 8.2 16.0
Sep 2024 41.5 51.2 0.0 7.3 9.7
Feb–Mar 2025 33.3 59.6 0.0 7.1 26.3
Vitaliy Kim
May 2023 14.7 62.7 10.6 12.1 48.0
July 2023 12.9 71.1 7.8 8.3 58.2
Sep 2023 18.0 64.1 9.1 8.8 46.1
Dec 2023 17.0 64.7 8.9 9.4 47.7
Jan 2024 21.3 58.0 9.7 10.9 36.7
June 2024 32.5 45.8 10.2 11.4 13.3
Sep 2024 34.4 45.8 7.0 12.8 11.4
Feb–Mar 2025 36.8 37.5 12.2 13.5 0.7
Ihor Klymenko
Feb–Mar 2023 16.9 27.2 42.5 13.3 10.3
May 2023 16.2 21.6 48.1 14.1 5.4
July 2023 17.2 32.0 38.2 12.6 14.8
Sep 2023 22.1 25.7 40.9 11.4 3.6
Dec 2023 21.0 30.8 35.8 12.3 9.8
Jan 2024 22.8 27.9 35.8 13.5 5.1
June 2024 31.5 23.6 33.3 11.6 -7.9
Sep 2024 33.7 20.5 33.1 12.7 -13.2
Feb–Mar 2025 33.4 18.1 36.3 12.1 -15.3
Vitali Klitschko
July–Aug 2021 64.2 25.6 0.6 9.6 -38.6
Feb–Mar 2023 27.5 57.9 1.6 13.0 30.4
May 2023 34.8 48.4 1.3 15.5 13.6
July 2023 35.5 47.7 2.4 14.4 12.2
Sep 2023 39.5 43.7 2.5 14.2 4.2
Dec 2023 45.2 40.0 1.2 13.6 -5.2
Jan 2024 43.6 39.2 1.2 16.0 -4.4
June 2024 45.3 40.9 1.0 12.7 -4.4
Sep 2024 46.8 39.1 1.8 12.2 -7.7
Feb–Mar 2025 51.8 36.3 1.0 10.8 -15.5
Vasyl Maliuk
Feb–Mar 2023 14.7 24.7 49.2 11.3 10.0
May 2023 14.9 26.4 46.5 12.3 11.5
July 2023 15.5 33.1 39.9 11.6 17.6
Sep 2023 20.9 33.8 34.7 10.6 12.9
Dec 2023 20.8 41.1 27.1 11.1 20.3
Jan 2024 22.2 40.1 28.7 8.9 17.9
June 2024 24.6 37.9 26.9 10.6 13.3
Sep 2024 27.0 36.2 26.5 10.2 9.2
Feb–Mar 2025 25.0 40.8 23.4 10.9 15.8
Petro Poroshenko
July–Aug 2021 75.5 17.6 0.4 6.3 -57.9
Feb–Mar 2023 64.8 24.4 0.1 10.7 -40.4
May 2023 73.1 17.1 0.5 9.4 -56.0
July 2023 70.7 19.7 0.5 9.1 -51.0
Sep 2023 73.1 16.9 0.7 9.4 -56.2
Dec 2023 74.2 18.2 0.7 6.9 -56.0
Jan 2024 69.8 18.7 0.3 11.1 -51.1
June 2024 67.1 24.2 0.3 8.3 -42.9
Sep 2024 68.3 22.8 0.6 8.3 -45.5
Feb–Mar 2025 74.9 17.0 0.2 8.0 -57.9
Serhiy Prytula
July–Aug 2021 56.5 21.8 8.9 12.9 -34.7
Feb–Mar 2023 21.7 65.0 2.5 10.8 43.3
May 2023 29.3 55.8 2.9 12.0 26.5
July 2023 31.3 55.0 4.0 9.6 23.7
Sep 2023 35.2 51.3 2.8 10.7 16.1
Dec 2023 33.5 54.8 3.6 8.1 21.3
Jan 2024 33.2 54.3 2.6 10.0 21.1
June 2024 47.0 40.8 1.8 10.4 -6.2
Sep 2024 46.1 42.2 1.9 9.7 -3.9
Feb–Mar 2025 51.9 37.1 1.9 9.1 -14.8
Ruslan Stefanchuk
Feb–Mar 2023 27.4 34.7 22.6 15.3 7.3
May 2023 33.7 26.9 23.1 16.3 -6.8
July 2023 35.6 31.0 20.1 13.3 -4.6
Sep 2023 46.0 24.6 17.8 11.5 -21.4
Dec 2023 41.4 27.8 18.1 12.7 -13.6
Jan 2024 50.5 23.1 14.8 11.6 -27.4
June 2024 63.8 17.5 9.4 9.4 -46.3
Sep 2024 53.1 18.0 17.3 11.5 -35.1
Feb–Mar 2025 65.3 13.6 11.0 10.2 -51.7
Yuliya Tymoshenko
July–Aug 2021 72.2 19.9 0.8 7.2 -52.3
Feb–Mar 2023 75.7 13.2 0.7 10.4 -62.5
May 2023 80.4 8.7 0.6 10.3 -71.7
July 2023 78.0 10.4 1.2 10.3 -67.6
Sep 2023 82.1 10.8 1.0 6.1 -71.3
Dec 2023 84.6 8.1 1.0 6.3 -76.5
Jan 2024 80.5 11.0 0.5 8.0 -69.5
June 2024 80.0 12.9 0.7 6.3 -67.1
Sep 2024 78.6 13.5 0.6 7.3 -65.1
Feb–Mar 2025 82.6 10.6 0.2 6.5 -72.0
Rustem Umerov
Sep 2023 20.9 25.1 31.7 22.4 4.2
Dec 2023 21.8 35.2 23.1 19.9 13.4
Jan 2024 27.2 33.2 19.4 20.2 6.0
June 2024 41.2 28.0 14.6 16.2 -13.2
Sep 2024 40.6 29.3 14.7 15.4 -11.3
Feb–Mar 2025 46.4 22.7 18.2 12.7 -23.7
Denys Shmyhal
July–Aug 2021 69.1 10.6 7.7 12.5 -58.5
Feb–Mar 2023 30.2 51.6 3.7 14.5 21.4
May 2023 39.3 36.1 5.9 18.8 -3.2
July 2023 37.9 41.4 6.9 13.8 3.5
Sep 2023 44.3 36.4 5.7 13.6 -7.9
Dec 2023 42.4 38.4 7.0 12.2 -4.0
Jan 2024 44.7 34.0 6.6 14.6 -10.7
June 2024 57.3 27.1 3.5 12.1 -30.2
Sep 2024 51.6 28.9 4.9 14.6 -22.7
Feb–Mar 2025 56.5 25.0 5.8 12.7 -31.5

* Aggregate of answers "don't trust at all" and "rather, don't trust"

** Aggregate of answers "fully trust" and "rather, trust"

*** Difference between trust and distrust


What is your attitude to the idea of holding national (presidential or parliamentary) elections before the end of the war?

Sep 2024 Feb–Mar 2025
Positive 28.2 21.6
Negative 55.6 66.4
Hard to say 16.3 12.1


Do you think that elections during the war will divide or unite Ukrainian society?

Sep–Oct 2023 Mar 2024 June 2024 Feb–Mar 2025
Unite 9.3 11.9 10.6 10.7
Divide 40.0 45.2 46.4 46.6
No influence 33.0 26.1 28.5 28.2
Hard to say 17.8 16.9 14.5 14.5


Do you think that the change of government during the war will contribute to or obstruct victory in the war with Russia?

Sep–Oct 2023 Mar 2024 June 2024 Feb–Mar 2025
Contribute 13.1 12.6 14.5 12.9
Obstruct 51.3 42.0 44.9 49.3
No influence 16.6 21.2 21.5 20.3
Hard to say 18.9 24.2 19.0 17.5


How soon after the end of the war and martial law do you think it will be possible to hold elections?

Right after the end of martial law In 6 months after the end of martial law In 1 year after the end of martial law In 2 years after the end of martial law Later Hard to say
of people’s deputies (members of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine)
June 2024 41.6 28.5 15.4 2.4 3.1 9.1
Feb–Mar 2025 39.6 35.2 13.9 1.4 2.4 7.6
of the President of Ukraine
June 2024 39.3 28.0 17.4 3.1 3.6 8.7
Feb–Mar 2025 36.0 35.4 15.9 2.0 3.9 6.7
of city/village mayors
June 2024 37.2 29.8 16.8 2.9 3.0 10.2
Feb–Mar 2025 37.3 34.3 16.0 2.0 2.8 7.7
of city/village council members
June 2024 37.6 29.5 16.5 3.1 2.9 10.3
Feb–Mar 2025 37.9 33.9 15.3 2.1 3.1 7.7


Do you believe in Ukraine’s victory in the war with Russia?

Aug 2022 Feb–Mar 2023 July 2023 Jan 2024 Mar 2024 June 2024 Sep 2024 Feb–Mar 2025
Yes 76.9 79.6 79.4 62.3 59.5 53.0 60.0 42.7
Rather, yes 14.6 13.6 13.8 22.5 23.4 26.9 23.0 31.5
Rather, no 2.9 2.1 1.6 5.0 6.4 7.2 6.2 11.1
No 1.2 1.4 1.7 3.5 4.4 5.0 5.2 5.1
Hard to say 4.4 3.3 3.5 6.7 6.4 7.8 5.6 9.5


What is your personal idea of the victory in the war? % of those polled who believe in Ukraine’s victory

Aug 2022 Sep–Oct 2022 Feb–Mar 2023 July 2023 Jan 2024 Mar 2024 June 2024 Sep 2024 Feb–Mar 2025
End of the war, even if the Russian army remains in the territories seized after February 24, 2022 (parts of Kherson, Zaporizhia regions, Donbas) 3.1 6.0 4.6 5.2 3.6 6.2 7.7 8.1 10.2
Expulsion of Russian troops behind the line as of February 23, 2022 (separate districts of Donetsk, Luhansk regions and Crimea remain occupied) 7.4 8.1 4.6 9.0 13.0 10.7 13.8 16.6 22.4
Expulsion of Russian troops from the entire territory of Ukraine except Crimea 8.7 4.2 4.4 5.7 7.4 8.6 7.7 7.5 11.2
Expulsion of Russian troops from the entire territory of Ukraine and restoration of borders as of January 2014 54.7 43.9 46.9 52.6 38.1 45.5 41.8 37.8 29.7
Defeat of the Russian army and an uprising in /collapse of Russia 20.4 26.6 30.8 20.8 27.3 23.1 17.5 17.5 17.0
Other 0.4 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.6 2.0 1.5 1.3
Hard to say 5.3 10.4 7.6 5.5 9.1 4.3 9.5 11.1 8.2


https://razumkov.org.ua/napriamky/sotsiologichni-doslidzhennia/otsinka-sytuatsii-v-kraini-dovira-do-sotsialnykh-instytutiv-politykiv-posadovtsiv-ta-gromadskykh-diiachiv-stavlennia-do-vyboriv-pid-chas-viiny-vira-v-peremogu-liutyiberezen-2025r