Readiness for election results

August 12, 2024

Without exaggeration, today the main issue of geopolitics and geoeconomics is the winner of the presidential election in the United States. Since World War II, the President of the most powerful country has always played a decisive role in shaping the world order. However, it seems that for the first time the risks of uncertainty in the development of the world economy (and world development in general) are "off the charts". And perhaps for the first time, it is in the United States that processes can be formed that pose a threat to freedom and democracy, and the peaceful development of mankind will be threatened by the aggressive intentions of autocratic countries.

In this publication, we will turn to an overview of the state and dynamics of certain macroeconomic indicators and indicators that may be under the pressure of political electoral "passions", and therefore will have an additional "reverse" impact on the economic environment. It should be noted that the current ("historically formed") complexity of global economic processes is exacerbated by the fact that today there are different moods in the leading democratic spaces — Europe and North America. Cautious expectations and unexpectedly (relatively) positive results of the pan-European elections contributed to the rapid calming of politicians and the public in Europe. At the same time, there is growing concern about both the course of the election campaign and the possible winner of the presidential race in the United States.


Full text in Ukrainian

Vasyl Yurchyshyn

Director, Economic Programmes


Born in 1955 in Kamyanets-Podilskyi.

Education:

T. Shevchenko Kyiv State University, Department of Cybernetics (1977).

Institute of Public Administration and Local Government at the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine (1994).

Professor in Public Administration. Author of nearly 100 scientific works.

Employment:

In 1977–1993, worked at the Kyiv University as an engineer, research fellow and senior research fellow;

1994–1999 — head economic researcher at the International Centre for Policy Studies, Fund for Banking and Finance Development;

1999–2004 — Assistant Professor, Department of Economic Policy of the Ukrainian (currently, National) Academy of Public Administration, office of the President of Ukraine;

1999–2004 — Research Director at the Agency of Humanitarian Technologies, later — Agency for Social Analysis;

2002–2003 — advisor to the Minister of Economy of Ukraine;

since April, 2004 — Professor, Department of Economic Policy of the National Academy of Public Administration, office of the President of Ukraine;

since June, 2005 — Economic Programmes Director at Razumkov Centre.

(044) 201-11-90

yurchyshyn@razumkov.org.ua