A powerful missile attack on Independence Day may become part of a major offensive of the Russian Federation

Director of military programmes at Razumkov Centre Mykola Sungurovsky reflects on an article in Washington Post and shares his opinion about future Russian tactics in an interview with UNIAN

The expert called Ukrainian Armed Forces ready for the Russian attack on February 24, noting however the presence of Russian agents within the Ukrainian authorities, which let Russia relatively successfully advance in the South — by contrast to the other directions.

Ukraine should be ready for a long war, and the expert is sure that the resolve of the Ukrainian people and Army will not be shattered, with or without allies’ support. Russia, having encountered great difficulties, will try to impose negotiations, seeking to legitimise its gains, but Ukraine should not and will not agree to that. Military operations will continue, and re-engagement of the Russian troops from Belarus, as well as of Belarusian military, cannot be ruled out.

Ukrainian strikes (or careless smoking?) in the occupied Crimea had a great psychological effect on Russians, making them feel unprotected, while Ukraine hopes for lend-lease in autumn, and gets ready to return its territories.

More available in Ukrainian at https://razumkov.org.ua/statti/potuzhnyi-raketnyi-udar-na-den-nezalezhnosti-mozhe-staty-chastynoiu-velykoi-nastupalnoi-kampanii-rf

Mykola Sunhurovskyi

Director, Military Programmes

Born in 1951 in Moscow.


Orenburg Higher Military Air Defence Forces School (1972);

Kyiv Air Defence Forces Academy (1982);

Higher School of Entrepreneurship, Kyiv Institute of National Economy (1991).

Ph. D. in Technical Sciences, Senior Research Fellow, the author of more than 90 publications.

Colonel (Ret.) with 31 years of military service, half of that term — at research institutions. Research profile — systems analysis, strategic planning, analysis methods, national security.


Most recent position in state bodies — Department Chief at the Analytical Service of Ukraine's NSDC Staff;

Since December 1999 — Razumkov Centre Programme Co-ordinator;

Since February 2000 — Freelance Consultant to the National Security and Defence Committee of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.

(044) 201-11-98