Putin's revenge. What Ukraine should expect after the massive Russian attacks

October 15, 2022

Oleksiy Melnyk, co-director of foreign policy and international security programmes at Razumkov Centre, believes that on the battlefields, "Russia is unlikely to be able to demonstrate anything now, at least in the next few weeks."

At the same time, he notes that Putin and the radical patriotic community of the Russian Federation continues to believe that Russia will be able to succeed thanks to mobilisation and strikes at Ukrainian logistics.

"As long as they believe this, it's bad, but not the worst. When Putin is completely disappointed with the capabilities of his armed forces, the Wagner group and Kadyrov's fighters, a critical moment may come when he has only one trump card left — nuclear weapons.", — the expert said in a comment for BBC News Ukraine.

"Therefore, the task of Ukraine and its Western partners is to prevent Putin from taking this step, fatal for himself and for the world at such a critical moment," adds Oleksiy Melnyk.



Oleksiy Melnyk

Co-Director, Foreign Relations and International Security Programmes, Coordinator of International Projects

Born in 1962 in Khmelnytsty Rgn


Royal College of Defence Studies, London, UK (2007)

Air Field Operations Officer School, Biloxy, MS, US (2001)

Squadron Officer School, Montgomery, AL, US (1994)

Defence Language Institute, San Antonio, TX, US (1994)

Chernihiv Higher Military Air Force Academy, Ukraine (1984)


1980 – 2001 — Air Force Active Service (Cadet, Instructor Pilot, Flight Commander, Squadron Commander, Deputy Air Force Base Commander, Participant of two UN peacekeeping operations, Lt.Colonel (Ret)

2001 – 2004 — Razumkov Centre

2004 – 2005 — State Company Ukroboronservice

2005 – 2008 — Ministry of Defence of Ukraine, Head Organisational and Analytical Division — First Assistant to Minister of Defence

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