It's not like playing piano on the stage: what the lack of Western military and diplomatic weapons means to Ukraine

August 15, 2022

The prominent US journalist, The New York Times columnist Thomas Friedman wrote in one of his latest columns about deep mistrust between the Ukrainian President and the White House, which effectively impedes provision of sufficient quantities of weapons, being not enough for a resolute offensive by the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

About a month ago, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy theatrically gave a command to liberate the south of Ukraine: "I order to liberate the South!".

However, this public pathos is not for war, where both civilians and soldiers get killed, where villages, city quarters, whole cities are wiped off the ground... and in a situation where we really do not have enough weapons for a tangible breakthrough.

However, as Ukrainian security expert, candidate of technical sciences, Razumkov Centre military programmes director Mykola Sunhurovskyi notes, the determination and consistency of military aid to Ukraine depend on how consistent and determined we are.

"The pace and volume of military aid and its types largely depend on the military tasks that we set for ourselves. And also, of course, on our will to fight — political, social, military," the expert says.

He notes that the West closely monitors the success of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, assesses their resolve to fight, draws appropriate conclusions and on this basis decides on the next aid package.

It is worth recalling the algorithms for the supply of weapons from the West in the past months of the war. Weapons come in separate packages, following our specific efforts and efficient actions.

"We kicked the Russians out of Kyiv — and got drones and ATGMs; cleared the north and south — received guns and infantry fighting vehicles; stopped the offensive in Donbas — and got tanks and MLRS," says Sunhurovskyi.

Mykola Sunhurovskyi

Director, Military Programmes

Born in 1951 in Moscow.


Orenburg Higher Military Air Defence Forces School (1972);

Kyiv Air Defence Forces Academy (1982);

Higher School of Entrepreneurship, Kyiv Institute of National Economy (1991).

Ph. D. in Technical Sciences, Senior Research Fellow, the author of more than 90 publications.

Colonel (Ret.) with 31 years of military service, half of that term — at research institutions. Research profile — systems analysis, strategic planning, analysis methods, national security.


Most recent position in state bodies — Department Chief at the Analytical Service of Ukraine's NSDC Staff;

Since December 1999 — Razumkov Centre Programme Co-ordinator;

Since February 2000 — Freelance Consultant to the National Security and Defence Committee of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.

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