Donbas, Kherson — and That’s It? What Putin Is Trying to Do Now

What Russia wants and what the United States and China have prepared for Russia

It is in Putin’s best interests to pinpoint the situation that has developed today on the front, biting off something using the remaining strength and fixing this contact line as a negotiating position. And then to negotiate, saying that, look, we are withdrawing troops, but we keep the Donbas and Kherson, and this is the end of it.

For Ukraine, this means a frozen conflict even worse than it was before 24 February. Moreover, it can escalate at any moment. That is, we are signing ourselves a capitulation. And Ukraine cannot agree to such conditions, of course. This has already been stated by the President’s Office, by Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba, and by many others.

Mykola Sunhurovskyi

Director, Military Programmes

Born in 1951 in Moscow.


Orenburg Higher Military Air Defence Forces School (1972);

Kyiv Air Defence Forces Academy (1982);

Higher School of Entrepreneurship, Kyiv Institute of National Economy (1991).

Ph. D. in Technical Sciences, Senior Research Fellow, the author of more than 90 publications.

Colonel (Ret.) with 31 years of military service, half of that term — at research institutions. Research profile — systems analysis, strategic planning, analysis methods, national security.


Most recent position in state bodies — Department Chief at the Analytical Service of Ukraine's NSDC Staff;

Since December 1999 — Razumkov Centre Programme Co-ordinator;

Since February 2000 — Freelance Consultant to the National Security and Defence Committee of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.

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