Big victory or not just yet? What awaits Ukraine?

June 22, 2022

Recently, there has been increasing consensus between Ukraine and the West regarding an alternative vision of the process of defeating Russia

What would be Ukraine's big-time victory in the war against Russia? The answer is the de-occupation of the territories and the restoration of the territorial integrity of Ukraine. That is, restoring the borders as of 21 April 2010, for example. Crimea is ours and no Russian Black Sea Fleet there. Reparations paid by Russia for all the damage done. Russia deprived of any opportunity to resume aggression against its neighbours anytime in the future.

This includes the continuation of the sanctions regime, the controlled withdrawal of offensive weapons beyond the Urals, the control of military activities throughout the territory of Russia, and the continued process of controlled limitation of strategic nuclear weapons. All these things, rather than promises of help from Western countries after the start of aggression, are key guarantees of Ukraines future security. Just like Ukraine's accession to NATO.

Mykola Sunhurovskyi

Director, Military Programmes

Born in 1951 in Moscow.


Orenburg Higher Military Air Defence Forces School (1972);

Kyiv Air Defence Forces Academy (1982);

Higher School of Entrepreneurship, Kyiv Institute of National Economy (1991).

Ph. D. in Technical Sciences, Senior Research Fellow, the author of more than 90 publications.

Colonel (Ret.) with 31 years of military service, half of that term — at research institutions. Research profile — systems analysis, strategic planning, analysis methods, national security.


Most recent position in state bodies — Department Chief at the Analytical Service of Ukraine's NSDC Staff;

Since December 1999 — Razumkov Centre Programme Co-ordinator;

Since February 2000 — Freelance Consultant to the National Security and Defence Committee of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine.

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