GDP, Prices, Hryvnia Exchange Rate. What to Expect in 2022?

According to the updated EBRD forecast, the Ukrainian economy will shrink by 30% this year due to the war. At the end of March, the EBRD projected a 20% decline in GDP. The IMF also predicts that the Ukrainian economy will shrink by a third. The World Bank estimates that Ukraine’s GDP will reduce by at least 45%. After all, according to various data, 30% to 50% of enterprises in Ukraine have completely ceased their activities; about half of all employees have lost their jobs and income.

The Kyiv School of Economics estimates that Ukraine has already lost more than $ 88 billion as a result of infrastructure damage. In general, the losses of the Ukrainian economy, both direct and indirect, such as GDP decline, cessation of investment, labour outflow and the like reach 600 billion US dollars! The government estimates that this figure could rise to $ 1 trillion in the long run.

Kateryna Markevych

Leading Expert, Economic and Social Programmes

Born in 1989 in Dnіpro


Dnipro National University named after Oles Honchar (specialty: International Economic Relations, Bachelor's Degree, 2010)

T. Shevchenko Kyiv National University, Institute of International Relations (specialty: International Economic Relations, Master's Degree, 2012)

External PhD student of the National Institute for Strategic Studies. Subject of dissertation is "FDI influence on the economic security of Ukraine"


2009 — Land Commission and Commission on Environment of the Dnipropetrovsk City Council

2009 — International Business Department of the Dnipropetrovsk Regional Public Administration

2011 — Secretariat of the Committee on Foreign Affairs of the Verkhovna Rada

2012 — Department for Facilitation of Investment Activity and Regional Development of the Ukrainian Chamber of Commerce and Industry.


2012 — Consulting Company "H-aRt"; Public JSC "Ukrnaftokhimproekt" (engineering company)

October 2012 – March 2014 — Junior Expert of Economic Programmes of the Ukrainian Centre for Economic and Political Studies named after O. Razumkov

Since March 2014 — Expert of Economic Programmes of the Ukrainian Centre for Economic and Political Studies named after O. Razumkov

Field of Research: international investing activity, foreign economic policy, economic security, FDI in MSE

Author of scientific articles and a participant of more than thirty scientific conferences devoted to investment activities of the Ukrainian economy, foreign investment activity in the countries BRICS group

(044) 201-11-98