The results of a sociological survey conducted from March 21st to 27th, 2024 by Razumkov Centre's Sociological Service.

The face-to-face survey was conducted in Vinnytsia, Volyn, Dnipropetrovsk, Zhytomyr, Zakarpattia, Zaporizhzhia, Ivano-Frankivsk, Kyiv, Kirovohrad, Lviv, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Poltava, Rivne, Sumy, Ternopil, Kharkiv, Kherson, Khmelnytsky, Cherkasy, Chernihiv, Chernivtsi oblasts, and in the city of Kyiv. In Zaporizhzhia, Mykolaiv, Kharkiv, and Kherson oblasts, it was conducted only in the territories under the control of Ukrainian military forces, where no active armed conflict is taking place.

The survey was conducted under stratified multistage sampling with random selection at the first sampling stages and using the quota method of respondent selection at the final stage (with respondents being selected under gender and age quotas). The sample structure represents the demographic pattern of the adult population in the areas where the survey was conducted as of the beginning of 2022 (by age, gender, and urban/rural classification).

2,020 respondents over the age of 18 were surveyed. The theoretical sampling error does not exceed 2.3%. Given this, additional systematic abnormality within the sample may have been caused by Russian aggression, namely the forced evacuation of millions of citizens.

Assessment of the foreign policy factors' impact on Ukraine

When assessing the negative impact of external events and processes on Ukraine using a five-point scale from 1 to 5, where “1” means no impact, and “5” — a significant negative impact, Ukrainian citizens find the effect of the following factors the most negative ones: problematic relations with Poland, namely, continuous border blockade by Polish farmers and carriers (average assessment of negative impact — 4.5 points), intense bipartisan political infighting in the USA, holding back military and financial support to Ukraine (4.4 points), an unfriendly policy from Hungarian leadership, blocking the European integration process for Ukraine (4.3 points), increasing complexity of the political, social, and economic situation in Europe, growing “fatigue” from the war in Ukraine (4.2 points), and the Inability of global and regional security structures to prevent world conflicts from escalation, in particular not stopping Russian aggression (4.2 points).

The negative impact of the world community polarization, and growing global confrontation between the democratic world and the authoritarian states (namely, strengthening partnerships between Russia, China, Iran, and North Korea) is estimated at an average of 4.0 points, the impact of Russia's hybrid aggression against Moldova aimed at reigniting conflict in Transnistria and destabilizing the situation in the country — 3.9 points, the impact of the escalation in wars in the Middle East (Israeli military operations against Hamas, the military operation of Western countries against the Houthis in Yemen) — 3.7 points, the impact of the long-lasting confrontation between the USA and China taking on the signs of a systemic crisis and affecting various regions globally, possible conflict in Taiwan — 3.7 points.

When answering the question of whether bilateral agreements on security cooperation entered into with several countries of the world (in particular, the UK, Germany, France, Denmark, Italy, Canada, and the Netherlands) help strengthen Ukraine when facing Russian aggression, 81% of respondents answered affirmatively (“yes” or “mostly yes”) (from 70% in the Eastern region to 89% in the Western region of the country), and only 9% — negatively (“no” or “mostly no”).

In February 2024, President of France E. Macron stated the possibility of sending a military contingent to Ukraine. The idea of Western ally military units being sent to Ukraine is supported by 74% of surveyed citizens and only 12% do not support it. The idea of Western ally military units being sent to Ukraine is supported by most respondents in the Western (87%), Central (78%), and Eastern (66%) regions, and a relative majority (47.5%) of respondents in the Southern region. 4.5%, 10%, 19%, and 27% do not support, respectively.

Attitude to foreign countries

When answering the question of attitude to foreign countries, most respondents claim a positive attitude to Canada (93%), Latvia (93%), UK (92%), Lithuania (92%), France (92%), Estonia (91%), Germany (90%), the Czech Republic (89%), the Netherlands ( 87.5%), USA (80%), Moldova (77%), Romania (70%), Slovakia (70%), Turkey (68%), and Poland ( 58%).

Most respondents (63%) have a negative attitude to Hungary.

Assessment by Ukrainian citizens of Putin's legitimacy after the presidential elections in Russia

In last October, the Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe urged its member countries to consider Vladimir Putin as the illegitimate president should he remain in power beyond 2024 and cease all contact with Russia barring humanitarian reasons to establish peace.

When assessing their attitude to this PACE resolution (that is, whether Putin's rule can be deemed legitimate after March 2024), 85% of surveyed Ukrainian citizens supported PACE's position, and only 5% did not (with 10% undecided).

This position is supported by 92% of residents from the Western region, 91% — from the Central region, 72% — from the South, and 71.5% — from the East of the country. 1%, 3%, 7%, and 15% do not support, respectively.

88% of Ukrainian citizens who mainly speak Ukrainian at home and 78% of those speaking Russian support recognizing Putin as illegitimate (3% and 9% do not support, respectively).

SURVEY RESULTS IN TABLES

The data in the tables are given in percentages unless otherwise specified

What is the adverse effect on Ukraine of the external events and processes listed below? (rate each item on a five-point scale from 1 to 5, where “1” means no effect and “5” means a significant effect)

In 2024, Ukraine entered into bilateral agreements on security cooperation with several countries — particularly the UK, Germany, France, Denmark, Italy, Canada, and the Netherlands. Will this strengthen Ukraine when facing Russian aggression?

In February 2024, French President E. Macron stated the possibility of sending a military contingent to Ukraine. Do you support the idea of western ally military units being sent to Ukraine?

To what extent is your attitude towards these countries positive or negative?

The Parliamentary Assembly of the Council of Europe has urged the countries of Europe to consider Vladimir Putin as the illegitimate president of the Russian Federation should he remain in power beyond 2024, and to cease all contact with Russia barring humanitarian reasons. Do you support this position?

DYNAMICS AS COMPARED TO PREVIOUS SURVEYS

What is the adverse effect on Ukraine of the external events and processes listed below? (rate each item on a five-point scale from 1 to 5, where “1” means no effect and “5” means a significant effect)

To what extent is your attitude towards these countries positive or negative?