June 17. The President of Kazakhstan publicly stated that he would not recognise independence of the occupied Ukrainian territories.
June 18. The aggressor's propaganda announced the suspension of deliveries of Kazakh oil because of mines "suddenly found" near the Novorossiysk port.
July 4. The Ministry of Finance of Kazakhstan has published for public discussion a draft order, providing for prohibition of the supply of sanctioned goods to RF and RB.
July 5. Novorossiysk "court" suspended the supply of oil from the Tengiz field (67% of all Kazakh oil exports) through the Caspian Pipeline Consortium for 30 days.
July 6. An explosion occurred at the same oilfield during an alleged hydraulic test of the pipeline.
In my opinion, this is rather a strange reason for such an incident. Most likely, it is not an accident, but the desire of the aggressor state to achieve three goals through terrorism.
The first one is to back the ruling of their "court" and stop Kazakh oil production and export to the EU.
The second one is to raise the share of the Russian oil in the PRC balance against the background of cooling relations with President Xi (who refused to come to the orc capital).
The third one is to stop the decrease in oil prices due to the intentionally created shortage of supply.
A similar incident — an explosion of a rather strange origin — occurred a month ago at the Freeport LNG plant in the US, when the EU was steadily pumping gas to storage facilities. As a result of the accident, the volume of liquefied gas supplied to the European market decreased significantly, and the spot price rose by 20%.
The terrorist state must be stopped now.