Russian attack after May 9 — conversation with Oleksii Melnyk

May 15, 2026

Media

Mass attack on Ukraine is an attempt to requite for Putin's humiliation, says Oleksiy Melnyk.

The one-man show in Red Square on May 9 turned an evident humiliation of Putin, hence, the recent mass attack may be seen as an attempt to take revenge and get kind of satisfaction.

Ukraine, according to the expert, will not try to strike at the Russian Federation in response to last night's events. Instead, it will work systematically to weaken the aggressor and inflict maximum damage.

Thanks to reports submitted in red or whatever colour folders, Putin believes in ​​​​an imminent victory. But this is not true, says Melnyk: "in fact, the count of strikes is not so important, but I dare say that in terms of efficiency and range, Ukraine is ahead. The war has long been transferred to the Russian territory."

Regarding the Russian air force activity over the Baltics and other incidents on the EU borders, Oleksiy Melnyk sees the main danger in the risks of stray incidents in conditions of poor communication. Expansion of the conflict is possible, if we take into account a number of Putin's critical miscalculations during the Russo-Ukrainian war. The aggressor has two ways: escalation of the war in Ukraine, or opening a second front in Europe. Both options are real.


https://razumkov.org.ua/napriamky/videokomentari/masovanyi-obstril-agresora-pid-prytsilom-stolytsya-ukrayiny-trybunal-proty-zlochyniv-rosii

Oleksiy Melnyk

Co-Director, Foreign Relations and International Security Programmes, Coordinator of International Projects


Born in 1962 in Khmelnytsty Rgn

Education:

Royal College of Defence Studies, London, UK (2007)

Air Field Operations Officer School, Biloxy, MS, US (2001)

Squadron Officer School, Montgomery, AL, US (1994)

Defence Language Institute, San Antonio, TX, US (1994)

Chernihiv Higher Military Air Force Academy, Ukraine (1984)

Employment:

1980 – 2001 — Air Force Active Service (Cadet, Instructor Pilot, Flight Commander, Squadron Commander, Deputy Air Force Base Commander, Participant of two UN peacekeeping operations, Lt.Colonel (Ret)

2001 – 2004 — Razumkov Centre

2004 – 2005 — State Company Ukroboronservice

2005 – 2008 — Ministry of Defence of Ukraine, Head Organisational and Analytical Division — First Assistant to Minister of Defence

(044) 201-11-95

melnyk@razumkov.org.ua

oleksiy.melnyk