60% of Russia's oil industry is under drone strikes: Ukraine found the Kremlin's weak point

March 19, 2024

It seems that the Ukrainian command managed to find a weak point of the Kremlin, analyst Volodymyr Omelchenko says. Drone strikes on Russian refineries destabilize the regime and bring its collapse closer

Over the past 2 months, UAVs targeted 14 oil refineries in Russia. As a result, 12% of all oil refining capacities of the Russian Federation were damaged in the last few weeks.

Distillation towers became the main targets at oil refining facilities, as they perform primary processing and separate oil into fractions: from light — gasoilne and kerosene, to heavy — tar and bitumen.

It is almost impossible to provide physical protection of atmospheric-vacuum distillation units, as their height reaches a twelve-storey building. Also, Russia faces big problems with protection using air defence and EW systems due to their concentration on the front line and the habitats of the main Kremlin rats. Production of new air defence systems is extremely limited due to the lack of production capacities and shortage of foreign component parts.

About 60% of all Russian refineries are located within the range of Ukrainian armed UAVs. If 2–3 distillation units are destroyed every week, in 3 to 5 months, the Russian Federation will face not only a collapse of its oil market but also a critical shortage of the "blood of war" at the front. It will also encounter insurmountable problems with the state budget revenues, because some refineries contribute the lion's share to the budges of entire regions. Drone attacks on the main oil pumping stations of main oil pipelines may become the last nail in the coffin of the Russian oil industry.

Therefore, the only reasonable way out of such a situation for the Kremlin is to stop its war in Ukraine and withdraw its armed forces from all the occupied territories, including Crimea. However, intelligence is not the greatest virtue of St. Petersburg ghouls. So, they are to face a harsh reality.


Volodymyr Omelchenko

Director, Energy Programmes

Born in 1967 in Kyiv

Education: Kyiv Politechnic Institute, Department of Chemical Engineering (1992)

Author of over 50 scientific works and op-ed publications. Took part in development and implementation of international energy projects and scientific research in international energy policy


1992 – 1996 — worked in different positions in the mechanical engineering industry

1997 – 1998 — Head Expert of the Division of Oil, Gas and Petroleum Refining Industry of the Ministry of Economy of Ukraine

1998 – 2003 — Naftohaz Ukrayiny National Joint-Stock Company, in Charge of Oil Transportation Section

2004 – 2007 — Chief Consultant at the National Institute of International Security Problems of Ukraine’s NSDC

since February, 2007 — Leading Expert, Razumkov Centre. Director of Energy Programmes since 2013

(044) 206-85-02