Regarding Global Threats in the Event of Russia’s Full-Scale Aggression Against Ukraine

November 20, 2018

If we discuss the threats that Russia’s full-scale aggression against Ukraine may pose to the EU, then it is necessary to focus on the energy facilities – primarily NPPs – rather than the gas transportation system. This is something that can endanger the entire world. In case of combat operations in Ukraine in the vicinity of nuclear reactors, this can lead to truly catastrophic consequences, not just the lack of heating in European homes.

However, the Kremlin is not interested in a full-scale military aggression against Ukraine. Instead, Russia would rather fuel this conflict not recognising its involvement as long as possible, so it is not translated into real war between states. It depletes the Ukrainian economy and undermines the prospects for development. It is also a powerful tool for influencing public opinion in Ukraine.


Oleksiy Melnyk

Co-Director, Foreign Relations and International Security Programmes

Born in 1962 in Khmelnytsty Rgn.


Royal College of Defence Studies, London, UK (2007)

Air Field Operations Officer School, Biloxy, MS, US (2001)

Squadron Officer School, Montgomery, AL, US (1994)

Defence Language Institute, San Antonio, TX, US (1994)

Chernihiv Higher Military Air Force Academy, Ukraine (1984)


1980-2001 — Air Force active service (Cadet, Instructor Pilot, Flight Commander, Squadron Commander, Deputy Air Force Base Commander. Participated in two UN peacekeeping operations, Lt.Colonel (Ret).

2001-2004 — Razumkov Centre.

2004-2005 — State Company Ukroboronservice.

2005-2008 — Ministry of Defence of Ukraine, Head Organisational and Analytical Division — First Assistant to Minister of Defence.

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