Default, Depreciation and Other Risks in the New Macro Forecast

January 16, 2019

The Razumkov Centre has published a forecast scenario for Ukraine's economic development over the next three years, describing it as a "cautious pessimism" scenario. The rates of economic growth, inflation, foreign exchange and balance of payments, presented in the October 2018 forecast, markedly differ from those projected by the Ukrainian government or the IMF and the World Bank. The main feature and difference is…

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Vasyl Yurchyshyn

Director, Economic Programmes

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Born in 1955 in Kamyanets-Podilskyi.

Education:

T. Shevchenko Kyiv State University, Department of Cybernetics (1977).

Institute of Public Administration and Local Government at the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine (1994).

Professor in Public Administration. Author of nearly 100 scientific works.

Employment:

In 1977–1993, worked at the Kyiv University as an engineer, research fellow and senior research fellow;

1994–1999 — head economic researcher at the International Centre for Policy Studies, Fund for Banking and Finance Development;

1999–2004 — Assistant Professor, Department of Economic Policy of the Ukrainian (currently, National) Academy of Public Administration, office of the President of Ukraine;

1999–2004 — Research Director at the Agency of Humanitarian Technologies, later — Agency for Social Analysis;

2002–2003 — advisor to the Minister of Economy of Ukraine;

since April, 2004 — Professor, Department of Economic Policy of the National Academy of Public Administration, office of the President of Ukraine;

since June, 2005 — Economic Programmes Director at Razumkov Centre.

(044) 201-11-90

yurchyshyn@razumkov.org.ua