In 2017, economic growth was symbolic – at the level of 2%. Taking into account that throughout 2014-2015, economy has had a 17% drop, – 2017 achievements seem rather modest.
Looking back at 2014, at the time when Russian aggression started, a lot was being said about active restructuring of Ukraine, significant increase of people's income being some of the most important and reliable medicines against separatist sentiment. This could also have a major impact on decreasing the populism surge in the society and political circles.
Regarding the 2018 forecasts, I do not believe that we will reach a 3% GDP increase as planned in the budget. Next year is the time of elections. No one will be willing to take risks and implement unpopular reforms, which in the short term can lead to social tension.
Director of Economic Programmes of the Razumkov Centre Vasyl YURCHYSHYN